Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.185388 0.222473 0.262267 0.307852 0.358338 0.412266 0.473952
2025-02-16 0.129841 0.178223 0.234418 0.303282 0.384208 0.475189 0.584104
2025-02-23 0.089983 0.142558 0.208748 0.295192 0.402252 0.527888 0.683872
2025-03-02 0.058388 0.109393 0.179612 0.277510 0.405064 0.560772 0.760428
2025-03-09 0.042019 0.092580 0.168116 0.279425 0.430471 0.620533 0.870156
2025-03-16 0.027820 0.074626 0.151393 0.271362 0.440970 0.660770 0.956066
2025-03-23 0.021583 0.068176 0.150373 0.284455 0.479517 0.737397 1.089084
2025-03-30 0.014770 0.057896 0.141164 0.283926 0.498352 0.788042 1.189478
2025-04-06 0.010013 0.049740 0.133808 0.284904 0.518540 0.840302 1.292430
2025-04-13 0.007121 0.044622 0.130833 0.292109 0.547485 0.904633 1.412018
2025-04-20 0.005143 0.040867 0.129664 0.301807 0.580048 0.974275 1.539500
2025-04-27 0.003592 0.037305 0.128130 0.310449 0.610947 1.041928 1.665115
2025-05-04 0.001940 0.031325 0.120345 0.307757 0.624735 1.086597 1.761749
2025-05-11 0.001121 0.027956 0.117717 0.313934 0.652425 1.151523 1.887019
2025-05-18 0.000463 0.023439 0.111098 0.311901 0.666651 1.197123 1.986276
2025-05-25 0.000069 0.017500 0.098655 0.297084 0.658974 1.210150 2.040154
2025-06-01 0.000008 0.015243 0.095932 0.301153 0.682420 1.269220 2.158953
2025-06-08 NaN 0.011840 0.088193 0.293864 0.686066 1.298510 2.235892
2025-06-15 NaN 0.011412 0.090590 0.308361 0.727474 1.385249 2.395284
2025-06-22 NaN 0.009455 0.086525 0.308214 0.743219 1.433145 2.499684
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007905 0.083287 0.309486 0.761290 1.484689 2.609714
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007096 0.082903 0.317232 0.791007 1.554479 2.746640
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006568 0.083619 0.327549 0.825506 1.632000 2.895324